prediction from the man who managed president obama's '08 campaign. house senior advisor david plouffe saying he believes 70 house races and 15 senate races are in play, this fall, plus a couple of dozen top gubernatorial races that will be very interesting to watch as well, we know what happened in virginia and new jersey, and we'll see what happens in the gubernatorial races. bill: also from nevada, speaking of that, a senate majority leader, harry reid is in the fights of his life, facing republican candidates, and, the tea party favorite, sharron angle in that race, and, at this point, a virtual tie, and, most of the polling, the latest rasmussen report, statewide telephone survey, of likely voters, now, does it get any closer? 45-45% each and anita vogel is live from las vegas today, a lot of folks wonder can harry reid survive, he's been on the stump saying, i sure can. what is happening? good morning there. >> reporter: good morning, bill, well, certainly, it is a tight race and about the most watched in the country.